Dairy

Perdue Reopening Several FSA Offices for Just 3 Days

U.S. Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue has announced many FSA offices across the country will open for three days. In a Tweet, he stated the offices will be open on 1/17 (Thursday), 1/18 (Friday) & 1/22 (Tuesday) to help farmers with existing loans and other limited services. He says USDA will bring back 2,500 employees to work at those FSA offices. The partial government shutdown continues with no end in sight. Congressional Democrats remain opposed to President Trump's demand for $5.7 billion dollars to build a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border. Democrats say they'll discuss border security once the government has reopened. President Trump is expected later today to sign legislation that will provide workers with back pay after the shutdown ends. The measure, which would pay federal workers for the work they perform or are blocked from performing during the shutdown, was passed by the House and Senate last week. Secretary Perdue is expected to be on hand for that signing. The Trump Administration has acknowledged the prolonged standoff over the border wall funding is having a greater impact drag than previously thought. In a call with reporters, the White House Council of Economic Advisers chairman said the shutdown is reducing economic growth more than predicted.
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Trade Talks Update: Statement Released from U.S. Trade Representative

The U.S. Trade Representative released a statement following three days of meetings in Beijing: Statement on the United States Trade Delegation’s Meetings in Beijing On January 7-9, an official delegation from the United States led by Deputy U.S. Trade Representative Jeffrey Gerrish held meetings in Beijing with Chinese officials to discuss ways to achieve fairness, reciprocity, and balance in trade relations between our two countries. The officials also discussed the need for any agreement to provide for complete implementation subject to ongoing verification and effective enforcement. The meetings were held as part of the agreement reached by President Donald J. Trump and President Xi Jinping in Buenos Aires to engage in 90 days of negotiations with a view to achieving needed structural changes in China with respect to forced technology transfer, intellectual property protection, non-tariff barriers, cyber intrusions and cyber theft of trade secrets for commercial purposes, services, and agriculture. The talks also focused on China’s pledge to purchase a substantial amount of agricultural, energy, manufactured goods, and other products and services from the United States. The United States officials conveyed President Trump’s commitment to addressing our persistent trade deficit and to resolving structural issues in order to improve trade between our countries. The delegation will now report back to receive guidance on the next steps.
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UPDATE: Where are the 2nd Round of Market Facilitation Payments?

It's on the mind of many producers right now: when will that second round of market facilitation payments be going out? Here's the latest on what we know: United States Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue was scheduled to meet with the White House Office of Management and Budget on Friday to discuss the matter. The payments are delayed right now. We're told it's due to optimism on China buying U.S. soybeans again and out of concerns about the cost of the program. Perdue told reporters he still expects the White House to approve the second round, despite China starting to buy U.S. soybeans again. As to when that second round of payments will be made, Perdue says "very soon". He believes the aid still needs to be sent since Mexico and Canada still have tariffs on goods and China has not removed theirs, either. The U.S. Department of Agriculture had authorized up to $12 billion in aid earlier this year for ranchers and farmers hit hard by the trade war with China. How big of a help are the payments? Tyne Morgan asked agriculture banker Keith Knudse of Security Bank in Nebraska. He said, "It could in some cases be the difference between profitability and making payments and not."
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House Passes The 2018 Farm Bill In Landslide Vote

The 2018 Farm Bill crossed the second of three hurdles on Wednesday when the House approved the measure in a landslide vote of 369-47 two days after the final conference report was made public. The bill will head to the Oval Office next. President Trump has previously indicated he will sign the bill. However, timing is unclear. “It is fitting that the House today considers the farm bill because 28 years ago, another proud Texan — President George H.W. Bush — signed the 1990 Farm Bill into law,” said House Chairman Mike Conaway prior to the vote. “And, for the first time since 1990, Congress is poised to pass a new farm bill in the same year that the legislation was first introduced.” He continued to say that a farm bill has not been needed by farmers as desperately as it’s needed today since the early 2000’s . “Our farmers and ranchers are going through a very difficult recession right now. Net farm income is down 50 percent from where it stood just 5 years ago — the largest drop since the Great Depression,” he said.
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Wisconsin Confirms Case of Bovine Tuberculosis

The Wisconsin Department of Agriculture, Trade and Consumer Protection (DATCP) has confirmed a case of bovine tuberculosis (TB) in a dairy herd in Dane County. Wisconsin had been certified bovine TB free since 1980. Meat inspectors identified a carcass with TB during a routine slaughter inspection and sent a sample to the National Veterinary Services Laboratory for testing. Once confirmed, the carcass was traced back to the Dane County farm, which was then immediately quarantined. "We are working closely with the herd owner, USDA, Department of Health Services, area veterinarians, industry partners and other herd owners. We are taking aggressive measures to control and prevent the spread of the disease," says Darlene Konkle, Wisconsin acting State Veterinarian.
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French Dairy Company Denies it Sold More Contaminated Milk

French dairy company Lactalis has denied claims made by an investigative newspaper that it sold 8,000 tons of milk powder potentially contaminated with salmonella. The paper, Le Canard Enchaine, reported Wednesday that Lactalis' plant in Craon, France, continued to sell milk products from a site in which salmonella bacteria was found last year. In a statement Wednesday, Lactalis Group said it "denies and firmly condemns" the new claims, which it calls "baseless." It says salmonella was found at one Craon facility last year that has since been closed and production continued at a second facility. French authorities said over 30 babies fell ill late last year after consuming contaminated products, though all recovered. Many products remained on shelves weeks after the recall order.
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USMCA Could Reduce Tariff Aid Payments

With commodity prices under significant pressure, producers who grow grains, raise hogs and milk cows are relying on tariff aid payments to help pay their bills. The new North American Free Trade Agreement, now called the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) could reduce those payments. According to Reuters, Agricultural Secretary Sonny Perdue says tariff payments could be reduced if retaliatory tariffs from Canada and Mexico are removed. “We will be recalculating along as we go,” Perdue said in a phone interview with Reuters. Perdue is referring to the second series of aid payments USDA has said is a possibility. “If the tariffs do come off and the tariff impact lessens it will have some impact over the mitigation efforts because mitigation efforts were based on the fact that they would be tariff damage related,” he said. Farmers were initially frustrated with the payment rates and could be more frustrated if the USMCA reduces future payments. “For corn, it’s a penny on half your production. I'm behind him,” says Mike Schropp an Iowa farmer. “The tariff subsidy money was a kick in the crotch for the dairy industry.” Still, retaliatory tariffs on ag products will likely continue until steel and aluminum tariffs imposed by the U.S. are lifted. “The [USMCA] deal matters longer term, but in the short term what we were hoping is to see those tariffs against our exports lifted that has yet to happen,” says Chris Galen vice president of the National Milk Producers Federation. “There is still some concern here that there's no timetable yet for lifting those tariffs.” The USMCA is not a done deal. It needs to be approved by the leaders of each of the three countries involved, which for the U.S., includes Congressional approval.
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How The USMCA Benefits All Farmers

Following more than a year of negotiation, the U.S., Canada and Mexico reached a final agreement on a revised North American Free Trade Agreement. The new deal named the U.S. Mexico Canada Agreement still has some hurdles to face before it can be implemented, but analysts say it’s a net positive for all of agriculture. “It’s good for all of ag,” Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue told AgriTalk host Chip Flory. “From a [market] access [standpoint], we've locked in those markets. Canada and Mexico are in our top three [export markets] year-by-year. So these are very important markets to our overall ag industry. We talk a lot about dairy, about poultry access and the wheat grading. But actually, it's very, very encouraging for all of agriculture.” Tom Vilsack, CEO of the U.S. Dairy Export Council and former U.S. Secretary of Agriculture, said the deal can assure farmers that the U.S. won’t be pulling out of the U.S. or Mexico anytime soon. “We're going to have a trilateral agreement and that should stabilize and strengthen the market over time,” he said. In addition, he said one of the best benefits of completing the deal is that it will free up people who've been negotiating on this agreement to focus on getting those retaliatory tariffs lifted, which still are a bit of a burden and “perhaps enable us to sort of refocus our attention on China and bilateral trade discussions with Japan, UK in the EU.” According to Perdue, dairy was the toughest issue to work out with Canada. He says deadlines are what ultimately got Canada to agree to U.S. demands. “I think this agreement’s always been extremely important to Canada, and people in this business work on deadlines,” he explained. “It was early deadlines that got this done. Obviously, you're aware that the dairy industry was a real very issue for Canada. They held out and to his credit, Ambassador Lighthizer, at the instruction of President Trump, held strong and we got to a better agreement than TTP and better, much more access than we had under the current NAFTA.” Dairy access into Canada is one of the trophies of this deal for the U.S. “The Mexican market continues to be preserved for dairy, it’s our No. 1 market, again, subject to the retaliatory terrorists being lifted,” he explained. “It’s good news in terms of new market access in Canada. You know, the reality is, I think the expectations were that the market access would be a little bit greater than it was, but it's, but it's certainly better than TTP.” However, Vilsack warned implementation will determine how good the deal actually is. “We don't really know precisely how this is going to work, because the quota is basically spread over a number of products. And depending upon the demand for those products that may or may not be a significant,” he said. “That's why we're just going to have to have a wait and see attitude. The same thing is true with the elimination of class seven. That was obviously good news and is something that dairy industry requested the administration to focus on. But in place of Class seven, we now have a new pricing system that provides for the use of an applicable Canadian allowance. We're not quite sure precisely what that means, whether or not that can be something that can be changed from year to year and time to time. If so, it could potentially create mischief in the future. But we'll have to wait and see.” One stipulation of the agreement, which basically unites the three countries when negotiating other deals, could help the Trump administration reach an agreement with China. “The beauty of that agreement is it's a very specific signal to China that North America is going to be united in its approach to non-market economies,” Vilsack explained. “China is probably the number one directive here. I think China is probably going to try to contend with the WTO that they are now a market economy and don't fall within that provision. But I think the U.S. position is clearly as a non-market country. I think that it specifically was designed to send a message to China that the administration is going to begin to develop the kind of coalition that I think they need, and probably should have had at the beginning of all this, in order to be most effective against the Chinese.” Still some farmers and industry groups say the deal falls short of expectations. Perdue said that’s just part of the American spirit. “We want the best and we want the most, but the fact is compared to where we were, this fulfilled President Trump's promise that he was going to improve and renew the NAFTA agreement and he's done that with USMCA,” Perdue said. “We have to realize that our U.S. economy is more than just agriculture, although I believe agriculture is the bedrock. [The deal] does a lot of things. There are phytosanitary rules of engagement between the three countries, and for the first time [it has] biotechnology text in the language. This agreement is very modern, it sets a template for other agreements that we think will be the template going forward over how we do deals with the EU as well as China.”
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Farmers Share Their Thoughts On Tariff Aid

In late July, U.S. Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue announced a $12 billion pro- gram to help farmers who are bearing the brunt of President Donald Trump’s trade tactics. Program sign-ups began Sept. 4. The package includes a market facilitation program, a food purchase and distribution program of surplus commodities, and a trade promotion program to provide private sector assistance to new markets. When USDA released the specific details of the tariff aid package, some farmers were thrilled, while others were greatly disappointed. Funds included in the Market Facilitation Program, which is the arm of the three-pronged program that results in direct payments, were not distributed equally. Instead, the rates were based on tariff impact. Still, some agriculture organizations say the payments are off-base and won’t help farmers in need. Farmers who produce corn, wheat and dairy say the program leaves much to be desired. Jimmie Musick, president of the National Association of Wheat Growers and an Oklahoma wheat farmer, says producers appreciate Trump’s steps to hold China accountable but “tariffs and the subsequent self-inflicted need to provide aid aren’t the answer.” Similarly, dairy producers were disappointed by the trade aid payment rates, which will amount to approximately 12¢ per cwt. “The dairy-specific financial assistance package provided by USDA, centered on an estimated $127 million in direct payments, represents less than 10% of American dairy farmers’ losses caused by the retaliatory tariffs imposed by both Mexico and China,” says Jim Mulhern president and CEO of the National Milk Producers Federation. Likewise, corn farmers are upset with their payment rate of 1¢ per bushel on 50% of 2018 production. “While most members prefer trade over aid, they support relief if it helps some farmers provide assurances to their local bankers and get through another planting season. Unfortunately, this plan provides virtually no relief to corn farmers,” says Kevin Skunes, National Corn Growers Association president and North Dakota farmer The consistent message across various sectors of the industry is that trade is the solution—not aid. Q. What are your thoughts on the tariff relief package for agriculture? Dwayne FaberDwayne Faber, Burlington, Wash. “We milk 1,800 cows in the Pacific Northwest and ship to Darigold. Our herd consists of Holsteins, Jerseys and cross-bred cows. We grow corn and grass silages to maximize our ration with local forages. A: It is estimated that the impact of the tariffs on the dairy industry will be a loss of $1.5 billion this year and a potential $3 billion next year. The largest bites were a 25% tariff on dairy products by China and a 20% to 25% tariff on cheese by Mexico. While initial reports were a tariff aid pack- age of $1 to $1.50 per cwt, the news of a paltry 12¢ or 6¢ on annual production was a rude awakening. The dairy industry has worked hard to develop market share in other countries, and it is incredibly frustrating to see that being eroded by Canada and our own government. Universally dairy farmers would prefer to make their margin on free market sales. However, being the unwanted pawn in a global trade chess game isn’t the position we prefer. I personally feel that aid in this situation is warranted.” Garry Niemeyer, Auburn, Ill. Garry Niemeyer“We grow corn and soybeans on more than 2,000 acres in central Illinois. I’ve been involved in farm- ing since I could walk and previously served as president of the National Corn Growers Association. A: What the government’s giving us—$1.65 on soy- beans and a penny on corn—is almost an embarrassment. I figured they were going to allow year-round E-15% instead of a larger aid payment on corn, but that hasn’t happened. Really, the payment is 82.5¢ on soybeans and a half cent on corn because they are only paying on half of total production. If I had 100,000 bu. of corn, that’s $500. I can’t take a family of four to a St. Louis Blues hockey game for $500. I mean, $12 billion dollars is a lot of money. But, agriculture throughout the U.S. is huge. So, there’s half of me that says, ‘How long do you let somebody take advantage of you and your intellectual property? You have to say enough is enough.’ We want to make sure we get a good deal. But how long does it take to shape this, and are we going to get a good deal? I mean, really, nobody expected that China would ever go this long and not have to buy some soybeans. Then there’s the other side that nobody wants to talk about. Maybe they are getting U.S. soybeans through the back door from other countries. That’s as aggravating as not getting a legitimate tariff deal done.” Michelle Jones“My dad, husband and I grow wheat, malt barley, safflower, sunflowers, corn, alfalfa, forage grains and cattle on 10,000 acres in Montana. I am currently president of the Montana Grain Growers Association, and I serve on the National Association of Wheat Growers board. A: We appreciate the administration putting together the Market Facilitation Program and recognizing the trade issues have had a negative impact on agriculture. We were disappointed to only have a 14¢ payment on half of our production. While a second payment is a possibility, the wheat industry had demonstrated that we have lost 75¢ per bushel as a result of lost export demand. We are hoping to see further progress on NAFTA negotiations, and we were encouraged by a handshake deal between Mexico and the U.S. pursuing more negotiations with China, as well as new agreements. Our farm, and the wheat industry as a whole, depends on our access to the global marketplace.”
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USDA:Net Farm Income to Decline; Debt, Assets Rise

USDA released net farm income projections for 2018 that call for a $9.8 billion drop from 2017 to $65.7 billion. However, they also anticipate assets and equity to increase. According to USDA, net cash farm income is forecast to decrease 12.0% to $91.5 billion. “In inflation-adjusted 2018 dollars, net farm income is forecast to decline $11.4 billion (14.8%) from 2017 after increasing $13.0 billion (20.3%) in 2017,” the agency noted. “If realized, inflation-adjusted net farm income would be just slightly above its level in 2016, which was its lowest level since 2002.” USDA’s definition of net cash farm income encompasses cash receipts from farming as well as farm-related income, including government payments, minus cash expenses. Meanwhile, net farm income incorporates noncash items, including changes in inventories, economic depreciation, and gross imputed rental income of operator dwellings. Cash receipts for all commodities, including livestock, are forecast to remain nearly stable in 2018 at $374.0 billion. “Both total animal/animal product and total crop receipts are forecast to be relatively unchanged from 2017 as increases in receipts for some commodities are offset by declines in other commodities,” the agency said. USDA expects farm sector equity to increase by $21.8 billion for a total of $2.62 trillion in 2018. Similarly, farm assets, driven by farmland values, are projected to increase by 1.2% to $3.0 trillion in 2018, reflecting an anticipated 1.8% rise in farm sector real estate value. While farmland values will increase, so will land related debt. Farm debt is expected to increase by 3.5% to $406.9 billion, led by an expected 4.4% rise in real estate debt. “The farm sector debt-to-asset ratio is expected to rise while the total rate of return to farm assets is expected to decline in 2018,” USDA said.
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